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The Danish central bank lowered its benchmark interest rate from 2.85% to 2.6%.According to the Ifop poll, the support rate of French President Macron remains unchanged at 25%.At least 9 people were killed and 6 people were missing when a refugee ship sank in the waters off Tunisia. On the 12th local time, a refugee ship sank in the waters off Tunisia. Subsequently, the Tunisia Coast Guard found nine bodies and six others were missing. According to the description of the survivors, the ship was carrying at least 42 people, all from sub-Saharan African countries, when the ship broke down and entered the water due to bad weather. After the incident, the coast guard has rescued at least 27 people on board, and the search and rescue operation for missing persons is still going on.

Major indexes of European stocks were mixed, with German DAX 30 index up 0.08%, French stock index down 0.06%, Italian stock index up 0.40%, British stock index up 0.03% and European STOXX 600 index down 0.19%.President of the European Central Bank: The euro zone economy continues to be weak and is still preparing to cut interest rates further. On December 12, local time, after the European Central Bank announced its decision to cut all three key interest rates by 25 basis points, President Lagarde of the European Central Bank subsequently held a press conference. She said that the Governing Council of the European Central Bank unanimously agreed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, mainly based on the latest assessment of the current inflationary pressure, future prospects and the transmission degree of monetary policy to the real economy. On the same day, the European Central Bank also released the latest macroeconomic forecast, further lowering its expectations for economic growth in the euro zone. Lagarde said that poor economic development and continued weakness are worrying. She said that trade friction may drag down economic growth, and extensive geopolitical development is one of the upward risks of inflation. In view of the fact that the current economic growth in the euro zone is hit by domestic political instability in various countries, especially large economies such as Germany and France, and may face the threat of punitive tariffs imposed by US President-elect Trump, the European Central Bank is still preparing to cut interest rates further. Lagarde said that the ECB Council is determined to ensure that inflation is sustainable and stable at the medium-term target of 2%. The next interest rate decision is scheduled for January 30, 2025.CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.

On December 12th, local time, the reporter learned that the court documents submitted that day showed that Alexander smirnoff, an FBI informant who had been accused of fabricating US President Barack joseph robinette and his son hunter biden to accept millions of dollars in bribes, had agreed to plead guilty. It is understood that smirnoff reached a plea agreement with David Weiss, special adviser of the Ministry of Justice. According to the agreement, the two sides will recommend a prison term of at least 48 months and no more than 72 months.Reaffirming that the army will be mobilized to expel all illegal immigrants, Trump's latest statement revealed more details. On December 12, local time, US President-elect Trump reiterated in an interview that he plans to use the army to the maximum extent permitted by law and promote large-scale expulsion of illegal immigrants. Trump called illegal immigrants "an invasion of the country" and promised to cooperate with federal resources, including the National Guard, to quickly implement deportation. It is reported that Trump plans to declare a state of emergency, allocate resources to support this action, and may build new facilities to resettle immigrants waiting for repatriation. He also stressed that he hopes to reduce the demand for detention facilities through rapid expulsion. The analysis pointed out that although the National Guard has been used to support border patrols before, including the Democratic and Republican parties, it has not directly participated in immigration law enforcement. This time, the Trump team plans to use the military to provide support in transportation, infrastructure construction and intelligence, but the arrest will be carried out by immigration officials. Trump also suggested in the interview that he would expel all illegal immigrants in the next four years. According to data from the US Department of Homeland Security, as of January 2022, there were about 11 million illegal immigrants in the United States, and this number may increase recently. In this regard, some studies believe that the full implementation of the plan is costly, or it will have a far-reaching impact on industries that rely on immigrant labor. On November 18, local time, US President-elect Trump confirmed on the social media platform that the US military would be mobilized by declaring the country into a state of emergency, thus expelling illegal immigrants from the United States. (CCTV News)Fitch: The possible trade policy changes after the results of the 2024 election in the United States will bring risks in 2025 and may reduce the demand for shipping companies.